This year 2019, is one of the best for S&P500 index, with YTD gain 25.13% and compared to that solid performance, Nifty50 index of India has YTD gain of only 9.71%, most of which has come in last 2 months, after being at negative YTD gain in Aug-Sep 2019.
The S&P500 has been the trend setter and leading indicator for other global equity indices, including Nifty50 index of India. A significant divergence from S&P500 by Nifty50 on the downside, has been a buying opportunity in previous years, and it was the same this year too.
Investors can buy #Infosys shares at 640, or $8.95 (cmp for INFY ADR) and all further corrections, for 20-25% gain in next 9-12 months. This is a good buying opportunity. #INFY is a very dependable company, with large scale global operations, and all this won’t change overnight.
Infosys stock has been hit today by whistle blower allegations of accounting malpractice related to the recognition of costs and margin reporting of its large deals pushed by its CEO. It appears that the whistle blowers are senior executives of the finance department. Obviously, this is very sensitive and damaging update, and we can expect the Infosys stock to go down with selling pressure till suitable and satisfying reply comes from Infosys Board. The SEC has also been informed about it, so this will take several days or weeks to clear out.
Infosys ADR (NYSE:INFY) is down 13% currently at $9.25 and its showing signs of recovery from oversold levels. But this is not going to be solved in one day. Infosys stock in India will be open for trading tomorrow 22 Oct 2019. It can fall till Rs 630-650 before during this correction period. Infosys stock is a good buying opportunity at Rs 650 for target Rs 900 over the next 2 years, because Infosys overall business is doing well, and it is a fundamentally strong company with diverse portfolio of IT services for large clients worldwide.
The financial impact of this episode appears less but the reputation impact is high. Investors should not rush buy the stock immediately on correction, but they should wait for good reply to come. The stock will tend to bounce back and also correct further till things stabilize. Summary: Buy Infosys (INFY) at 650 for Target 900 in 2 years.
