Category Archives: US Stock Market

S&P500 vs Nifty50 YTD Performance-22Nov2019

This year 2019, is one of the best for S&P500 index, with YTD gain 25.13% and compared to that solid performance, Nifty50 index of India has YTD gain of only 9.71%, most of which has come in last 2 months, after being at negative YTD gain in Aug-Sep 2019.

The S&P500 has been the trend setter and leading indicator for other global equity indices, including Nifty50 index of India. A significant divergence from S&P500 by Nifty50 on the downside, has been a buying opportunity in previous years, and it was the same this year too.

Infosys (INFY) Stock Analysis- 21Oct2019

Infosys stock has been hit today by whistle blower allegations of accounting malpractice related to the recognition of costs and margin reporting of its large deals pushed by its CEO. It appears that the whistle blowers are senior executives of the finance department. Obviously, this is very sensitive and damaging update, and we can expect the Infosys stock to go down with selling pressure till suitable and satisfying reply comes from Infosys Board. The SEC has also been informed about it, so this will take several days or weeks to clear out.

Infosys ADR (NYSE:INFY) is down 13% currently at $9.25 and its showing signs of recovery from oversold levels. But this is not going to be solved in one day. Infosys stock in India will be open for trading tomorrow 22 Oct 2019. It can fall till Rs 630-650 before during this correction period. Infosys stock is a good buying opportunity at Rs 650 for target Rs 900 over the next 2 years, because Infosys overall business is doing well, and it is a fundamentally strong company with diverse portfolio of IT services for large clients worldwide.

The financial impact of this episode appears less but the reputation impact is high. Investors should not rush buy the stock immediately on correction, but they should wait for good reply to come. The stock will tend to bounce back and also correct further till things stabilize. Summary: Buy Infosys (INFY) at 650 for Target 900 in 2 years.

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/indias-infosys-us-listed-shares-plunge-after-whistleblower-complaints-2000288

More S&P500 Companies Giving Positive EPS Growth Guidance

For Q2 2017, 75 companies in the S&P500 have issued negative EPS guidance and 37 companies in the S&P500 have issued positive EPS guidance. While the number of companies issuing negative EPS is slightly below the 5-year average (79), the number of companies issuing positive EPS guidance is well above the 5-year average (27). If 37 is the final number for the quarter, it will be the highest number of S&P500 companies issuing positive EPS guidance since Q1 2012 (also 37).

What is driving the high number of positive guidance for the second quarter? At the sector level, the Information Technology and Health Care sectors have the highest number of companies issuing positive EPS guidance for the quarter.

In the Information Technology sector, 17 companies have issued positive EPS guidance for the second quarter. This umber is well above the 5-year average for the sector (9). If 17 is the final number for the quarter, it will mark the third highest number of companies issuing positive EPS guidance for this sector since FactSet began tracking EPS guidance in 2006. 9 of these 17 companies are in the Semiconductor industry. This industry is projected to report the highest earnings growth (40%) of the seven industries in this sector.


In the Health Care sector
, 10 companies have issued positive EPS guidance for the second quarter. This number is well above the 5-year average for the sector (3). If 10 is the final number for the quarter, it will mark the highest number of companies issuing positive EPS guidance for this sector since FactSet began tracking EPS guidance in 2006. 5 of these 10 companies are in the Health Care Equipment & Supplies industry. This industry is projected to report the highest earnings growth (10%) of the six industries in this sector.

The term “guidance” (or “preannouncement”) is defined as a projection or estimate for EPS provided by a company in advance of the company reporting actual results. Guidance is classified as negative if the estimate (or mid-point of a range estimates) provided by a company is lower than the mean EPS estimate the day before the guidance was issued. Guidance is classified as positive if the estimate (or mid-point of a range of estimates) provided by the company is higher than the mean EPS estimate the day before the guidance was issued.

Source: Factset.com